Pretty ambitious to think a bunch of people who have never done it in Kona "should" break 2:50 on the run IMO. Very few people actually do that. Probably will be mid-single digits like normal.

EDIT: Just for fun, here's the complete list of men who have done it the last 5 Konas

1. David McNamee
2. Jan Frodeno
3. Sebastian Kienle
4. Patrick Lange
5. Bart Aernouts
6. Tim O'Donnell
7. Ben Hoffman
8. Braden Currie
9. Jan Van Berkel
10. Dan Baekkegard

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