windywave wrote:
DavHamm wrote:
spockman wrote:
slowguy wrote:
Nutella wrote:
It is a bit early but I don't see how this is not a major miscalculation by Iran.
Global public opinion has shifted against Israel in the last month. This attack will remind the world that Israel is always a target and needs to defend itself. "Never interrupt your enemy when he's making a mistake"
U.S. and British will take down Iranian drones as they fly over Iraq. Jordan will take them down as they fly over Jordan. Israel will take care of the rest. Iran will look weak and incompetent.
Iran had to do something. Israel attacked their consulate in Damascus. No country can let that go without a response. That attack was surely executed with the expectation and acceptance of an Iranian retaliation as the cost of doing business.
Best case is that the attack does little damage but Iran feels like it’s met its need to stand up for themselves and the temperature goes back down to a low boil instead of bubbling over.
I am thinking Israel does not do much. I think tactically Israel is interested in rooting Hamas out of Gaza above all. Any response against Iran complicates things immensely
And yet, they attacked first. So ...
Who attacked first? Surely you're not so dense as to be saying Israel attacked first
Yes, I am. My understanding, is Israel attacked a Consulate of Iran's. Which was the first direct attack by or on Iran with Israel. No proxy's a straight up hit on Iran. Iran had to retaliate at some level. This was a minor attack, cost Israel a lot in Iron Dome defenses but no real damage. What I think most of the world will view as a measured response, that needs no retaliation from Israel, and this can be left as is. But do the Israel's agree, and they have enough on their platter, that they probably don't want to enter a direct war with Iran.
That said, I avoid the politics of this whole region, cause you can literally go back 1000's of years if you want on who attacked whom first. And which party is in the right etc... Now its possible, I have this wrong, but from literally every article and story I have read, this is the origin of this attack and "justified" retaliation. But I am sure the Pro-Israel crowd has a different take.
And no I don't want to get involved, in a discussion on the politics / History / wars / sides / proxies / enemies of the varies countries / tribes / factions / etc.. in the middle east.
Just Triing
Triathlete since 9:56:39 AM EST Aug 20, 2006.
Be kind English is my 2nd language. My primary language is Dave it's a unique evolution of English.