rrheisler wrote:
Inevitably that leads to an echo chamber of not being able to really crack that top 16 for the following year, unless you win IMWC and some gold tier events.
The aspiration, need even, to ensure this is not a closed league is an aspect that the PTO has to finesse and have various mechanisms to consider. Promotion/relegation will become a key aspect of the 'story' later in the season: they need to take actions as early as Singapore.
It seems to me this has not been modelled with sufficient care. One of the aspects of the (2024 contract) 'offer' to athletes was the imperative to get on board or you may not be able to next year (as I argued in the 2023 PTO thread) - almost a 2+ year deal.
(From
https://t100triathlon.com/pro-series-explainer/ and Renouf's PTN pod answers)
Make or break for 2025 ". . . there’s also the opportunity for athletes to earn their T100 contract for 2025 – or the jeopardy of losing their place in the series if they don’t perform. The top 10 athletes in the T100 standings at the end of the season will guarantee . . a contract in 2025, whether their (sic) a 2024 contracted athlete, Hot Shot or a Wildcard. ["Hot Shots are contracted athletes"]
"The next 6 contracted athletes for 2025 will be decided through PTO World Rankings, the contracts going to the 6 highest-ranked athletes who haven’t already earned a contract regardless of whether they’ve raced T100 or not. The final 4 contracts will go to Hot Shot athletes."
The issue is the PTO ranking points that will be scored by
- athletes outside the 2024 EoY top 10 T100 Tour athletes
- versus
- points scored by an athlete of similar calibre but not contracted this year
Note: The latter will be those currently ranked below #17 or draft illegal parvenus (ex-ITU, pre- or post-Paris)
https://stats.protriathletes.org/rankings/women and very likely have raced one or two T100 races with wildcards
To ensure promotion opportunity (and concomitant relegation) PTO could:
- Revise the conditions for contract renewal - for example changing it to 8 assured renewals. But in practice, #10 on the T100 list (on 1 Dec) will surely be in the top 15 of the PTO rankings at EoY.
- Grade the first seven races as Platinum as opposed to Diamond and keep only the Grand Final as Diamond (along with the IMWC). Renouf answered/argued that the T100 races completely deserved 'Diamond' status as, in the round, each offers way more than the $500k threshold in remuneration (overall 'compensation' for the T100 Tour is >$7M: contracts plus race prize purse plus T100 Series winnings)
- Ensure that the wild cards are offered with this aspect in mind: enabling athletes to challenge the top tier and, by excellent performance, gain T100 points (chance of making the GF) and high PTO Rankings points (only need 3 scores in the year) The challenge will be that there'll be very few wild cards (for WPro) in Las Vegas or Dubai as all contracted athletes will race.
- Increase the number of starters in the Grand Final (to allow good PTO Rankings points to be scored and keep those athletes 'in the story').
PTO Rankings points:
- The SOF of the T100 races will be higher than every other race (even the IMWC).
- Clearly it's easier to score highly on the top races in a field where the top athletes (at least 5) start.
- All T100 races are shown as Diamond (only other is the IMWC). PTO Rankings remain best 3 on a rolling 365 day basis.
- The 70.3WC is Platinum, as is Roth and the WT designated LDWC (Townsville I think).
- The top IMs and some 70.3s (roughly the IMs and some 70.3s in the IM Series) will be Gold. But the SOF of, for example, IM Texas (even though that race is going to be stacked) will be (my estimate) 4 lower than T100 Miami so points lower.
- In December PTO will be faced with the dilemma of needing to get 2025 contracts out and get them accepted but yet wait (I hope) for the TaupĹŤ results/PTO Ranking scores to inform those final 6 AQ contract recipients.
- The 4 'Hot Shot' discretionary picks may offer them enough flexibility.
- PTO will want to maintain their grip on the narrative and be somewhat irritated to find TaupĹŤ being the focus of the promotion /relegation 'story'; because it surely will be: the SOF will be high with all the top athletes extending their season (if bodies still in one piece) to travel early December from the 'Middle East' (GF venue) down to Auckland.